13 october 2020
A long-term winner in the fast growing digital entertainment space
. The video game sector is benefiting from multiple long-term growth drivers
Digitalisation_
Now that video games are distributed digitally (as opposed to physically), the monetization period and the margin generated by publishers are increasing (in-app revenues generate strong revenue growth, at better overall margin).
Streaming_
Big tech are investing heavily to create an ecosystem to enable video game streaming. One of the barriers to having more players is the cost of hardware. Video game streaming does make it cheaper and more accessible for potential players and will increase significantly the Total Addressable Market, especially within emerging markets.
E-sport_
The general shift from player to viewer can be measured by the popularity of video game live streaming. This provides additional advertising revenue potential for publishers, with e-sport events gathering more than 200M viewers worldwide, and tech giants fighting over diffusion rights of e-sport stars.
Exhibit 1_ Proportion of viewers and gamers
Source: newzoo videogame specialist, as of 21.08.2019
More and more players_
There are more players worldwide who spend more time playing video games (thanks to mobile games, and the increasing proportion of women playing). In this environment, we anticipate that video game developers will have more pricing power in the future and will generate better margins as a result. We also expect developers who own their IP (Intellectual Property) to have more bargaining power, as they are able to attract more players.
Figure 2_ Daily users on Steam, the largest digital market place for video games
Source: Steamcharts as of 30.03.2020
. Usage boosted by people staying @home
During the pandemic, we witnessed a more intensive use of video games, see exhibit 3
[1] Source : TheGuardian.com : Esports ride crest of a wave as figures rocket during Covid-19 crisis, 10.04.2020
[2] Source : Newzoo.com : What Gamers Are Playing & Watching During the Coronavirus Lockdown: Player Share & Viewership Spikes for Games & Genres, 17.04.2020
Figure 3_ Vente in $M
Source: Reuters as of 01.10.2020
In addition, more time available led to wider adoption of video games among the population (see Exhibit 4). The demographic profile of gamers has been transformed.
Figure 4_ Active video gamers worldwide in millions
Source: Reuters au 01.10.2020